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Saturday, April 19, 2025

2022: Rio Arriba County aging and government transfer dependency trends

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John Lettieri, President and CEO of Economic Innovation Group | Official Website

John Lettieri, President and CEO of Economic Innovation Group | Official Website

In 2022, Rio Arriba County received $699.2 million in government transfer payments, equivalent to $17,460 per capita.

These payments—which include Social Security, Medicare, Medicaid, and income maintenance—accounted for 40.2% of all personal income in the county, according to information from the Economic Innovation Group.

This marks a significant increase in the county’s reliance on government transfers compared to 2012, when such payments made up 30% of total income. Since then, the share has risen by 10.2%.

Government transfer payments are non-repayable funds provided by federal, state, or local governments to support individuals in need. These payments aim to stabilize economic conditions and provide financial support during hardships. Key programs include Social Security transfers (retirement benefits), Medicare transfers (healthcare for seniors), Medicaid transfers (healthcare for low-income individuals), and income maintenance transfers (financial assistance for basic needs).

In 2022, government transfers in Rio Arriba County primarily focused on older adults—such as Social Security transfers, which totaled $167.3 million (23.9% of all transfer income), and Medicare, which accounted for $105.3 million (15.1%)—played a notable role in the county's overall income.

On a per capita basis, Social Security payments rose from $3,263 in 2012 and $724 in 1970 to $4,178 in 2022, reflecting a 28% increase over the past decade and a 477.1% shift since 1970.

Similarly, Medicare transfers climbed from $2,017 in 2012 and $141 in 1970 to $2,628, marking 30.3% and 1,763.8% increases, respectively.

These increases in per capita payments align with shifts in the county’s age distribution. In 2022, residents aged 65 and older made up 22% of the total population, compared to 15.3% in 2012 and 7.4% in 1970. While the senior share of the population has increased, the rise in per capita Social Security and Medicare transfers suggests that these assistance programs for older adults now require a larger share of government funding—either due to growing needs, expanded eligibility, higher benefit levels, or increased enrollment.

According to the Economic Innovation Group, total income in Rio Arriba County excluding public assistance amounted to $25,941 per capita in 2022, compared to $43,400 when government transfers were included.

Breaking down the other contributions in the county, Medicaid transfers made up $273.8 million, a 39.2% share of total income, while income maintenance programs, including assistance such as SNAP or TANF, added another $110.6 million, or 15.8% of the total.

Compared to the previous year, Rio Arriba County's reliance on government transfers decreased by 2.3%.

Government transfers have long been a modest financial safety net, historically comprising only a small fraction of Americans' income. However, since the 1970s—sometimes dubbed the “Great Transfer-mation”—dependency has surged from 8.2% (or $2,016 per capita in inflation-adjusted 2022 dollars) in 1970 to 17.6% (or $11,529 per capita) in 2022 nationwide.

According to the Economic Innovation Group’s analysis, these trends are not merely short-term responses to economic pressures but rather reflect a profound, long-term transformation in how government support is integrated into American life. The study illustrates that structural shifts—from rising healthcare expenses and demographic changes to stagnant wages—have significantly increased dependency on government transfers.

Breakdown of Government Transfers by Program in Rio Arriba County, 2022
Medicaid Transfers [39.2%]Social Security Transfers [23.9%]Income Maintenance Transfers [15.8%]Medicare Transfers [15.1%]

2022 New Mexico County Rankings by Per Capita Government Transfers

CountyState Rank (Per Capita Transfers)Dependency on Transfers (%)% Population 65+Social Security Transfers (%)Medicare Transfers (%)Medicaid Transfers (%)Income Maintenance Transfers (%)Per Capita Transfers ($)
Sierra County150.96%38.13%27.3%21.2%31.3%11.9%$24,783
Mora County245.23%32%25.7%15.1%39.5%11.7%$23,421
San Miguel County348%25.3%19.7%12.9%45.8%14.6%$21,815
Quay County444.37%27.21%23.5%19.9%34.4%14%$20,947
De Baca County537.3%29%24.3%16.1%38.4%12.5%$20,909
Grant County639.83%30.41%28.5%18.1%33.3%11.6%$20,676
Hidalgo County737%23%23.4%15.8%40.5%14.9%$19,660
Guadalupe County845.65%21.13%19.3%14.3%46.1%13.6%$19,519
Colfax County937.53%28.81%29.1%22.9%28.3%11.4%$18,870
Socorro County1041.12%21%21.6%16.8%36%18.3%$17,781
Rio Arriba County1140.23%21.99%23.9%15.1%39.2%15.8%$17,460
Lincoln County1234.47%31.83%33.8%22.8%23.7%11.8%$17,322
Torrance County1339%23%24.7%14.8%34.7%17.8%$16,854
Taos County1435.43%30.51%30.4%18.8%30.4%12.7%$16,575
Luna County1543.72%20.54%24.6%19.2%29%19.9%$16,356
Catron County1641.31%42.82%42.2%23.9%12%10.3%$16,302
Union County1736.21%23.46%25.7%25.5%29.8%11.3%$15,669
Chaves County1831.91%16.53%21.6%16.7%38.8%16.8%$15,250
McKinley County1943.47%13.73%15.8%14.7%40.2%19.6%$15,175
Cibola County2043.85%17.86%21.7%18.2%35.1%16.7%$14,991
Harding County2132.2%41.22%36.7%23.5%18.3%10.4%$14,871
Valencia County2233.17%18.71%25.5%15.1%32.3%16.9%$14,588
Curry County2326.88%13.45%18.2%15.7%35.4%17.2%$14,428
Roosevelt County2429%15.16%18.7%16.3%38.6%15.9%$14,398
Dona Ana County2531.15%16.99%23.6%18.2%28.9%18.6%$14,130
Santa Fe County2618%28%40.3%21.8%18.3%11.9%$13,479
San Juan County2730.77%16.9%26.9%20.3%28.9%14.9%$13,384
Bernalillo County2822.96%18.28%29.6%17.7%26.5%16%$12,755
Otero County2930.25%17.53%26.9%20.6%22.5%15.3%$12,660
Eddy County3018.76%14.92%25%18.3%35%15.8%$12,657
Sandoval County3121.87%19.99%36.6%20.6%16.9%13.1%$11,622
Lea County3221.62%11.67%21.4%16.4%38.5%17.7%$11,423
Los Alamos County338.87%18.62%49.6%23%9.7%8.8%$7,677

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